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| 2008/10/08 07:03:54 | ||
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原文: As this example shows, world risk society is faced by the awkward problem (here one can no longer talk about irony) of having to make decisions about life and death, war and peace, on the basis of more or less unadmitted not-knowing. Because the dilemma lies also in the fact, that the option which relies on there being no danger, is equally based on not-knowing and is equally high risk, in the sense that terrorists really could acquire weapons of mass destruction, and do so precisely because we believe in not being able to know and hence do nothing. In other words: The non- compensatibility irony comes to a head in tragic fashion; if risks are held to be non- compensatible, the problem of not-knowing is radicalised. If catastrophes are anticipated whose potential for destruction ultimately threatens everyone, then a risk calculation based on experience and rationality breaks down. Now all possible, more or less improbable scenarios have to be taken into consideration, to knowledge, therefore, drawn from experience and science there now also has to be added imagination, suspicion, fiction, fear. Francois Ewald writes: “...the precautionary principle requires an active use of doubt, in the sense Descartes made canonical in his meditations. Before any action, I must not only ask myself what I need to know and what I need to master, but also what I do not know, what I dread or suspect. I must, out of precaution, imagine the worst possible, the consequence that an infinitely deceptive, malicious demon could have slipped into the false of apparently innocent enterprise.” 译文: 如本文的例子所示,全球社会所面临的风险就是面对生死亡、合平和交战、对或多或少不察觉的未知事项等交关的决策懦弱问题(这是人们不应再嘲讽的问题)。因为这种的两难困境也是存在事实中,而无关风险的选择,也同样是基于未知事项的考虑,情况如同高风险的决策,即为恐怖份子可能实质需要有毁灭性的武器,正确来说,这是因为我们所认定的事实,是没有能力了解其情况,当然就不作任何举动。假如风险被认为是无法弥补的,则不免让人想到无法弥补的悲剧思考模式,则对未知的问题更佳极端化。假如可预测最终对每个人造成威胁的灾难时,则基于经验和理性的风险评估则会瓦解。而将所有可能,以及或多或少不可能的情况,则会行入考虑中,除了依据知识、经验和科学的考量,现在则要加上想像、质疑、虚幻和恐惧。Francois Ewald写道:「谨慎的原则需积极善用质疑,如同Descartes的宗教冥想一样。在任何行动前,我不只要自问,所需了解和精通的事,但也需了解自己所不知道、害怕或质疑的事项。出于谨慎,应考虑到最糟的情况,就是无止境的欺骗和邪恶悄然进入显然无知机构体系的虚伪中。 |
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